Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on September 12, keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 30–32°C range according to PAGASA regional outlooks and multiple forecast models. High humidity, light winds, and frequent rain showers reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this model agreement, while slight upward bias toward 32°C accounts for possible brief clearing. Resolution will depend on official PAGASA station readings for the daily high, with no major shifts expected absent unexpected subsidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月12日のマニラの最高気温は？
31°C 41%
30℃ 22%
32℃ 19%
29℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
7%
30℃
22%
31°C
38%
32℃
19%
33℃
7%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
<1%
31°C 41%
30℃ 22%
32℃ 19%
29℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
25℃以下
$302 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$320 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$614 Vol.
7%
30℃
$558 Vol.
22%
31°C
$1,112 Vol.
38%
32℃
$900 Vol.
19%
33℃
$840 Vol.
7%
34℃
$49 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on September 12, keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 30–32°C range according to PAGASA regional outlooks and multiple forecast models. High humidity, light winds, and frequent rain showers reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this model agreement, while slight upward bias toward 32°C accounts for possible brief clearing. Resolution will depend on official PAGASA station readings for the daily high, with no major shifts expected absent unexpected subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$5,590終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on September 12, keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 30–32°C range according to PAGASA regional outlooks and multiple forecast models. High humidity, light winds, and frequent rain showers reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this model agreement, while slight upward bias toward 32°C accounts for possible brief clearing. Resolution will depend on official PAGASA station readings for the daily high, with no major shifts expected absent unexpected subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,590終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on September 12, keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 30–32°C range according to PAGASA regional outlooks and multiple forecast models. High humidity, light winds, and frequent rain showers reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this model agreement, while slight upward bias toward 32°C accounts for possible brief clearing. Resolution will depend on official PAGASA station readings for the daily high, with no major shifts expected absent unexpected subsidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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