Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate onshore westerly winds for San Francisco on September 13, supporting a high near the long-term seasonal average of 70–71°F. Recent cooling after an early-September heat spike—with a 94°F reading on the 9th—has stabilized marine influence and suppressed further warming, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 68–69°F or 72–73°F ranges. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月13日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
70～71°F 46%
68〜69°F 26%
72〜73°F 22%
66〜67°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
華氏61度以下
1%
62〜63°F
2%
64～65°F
3%
66〜67°F
16%
68〜69°F
26%
70～71°F
46%
72〜73°F
22%
74～75°F
8%
76～77°F
5%
78〜79°F
3%
80°F以上
2%
70～71°F 46%
68〜69°F 26%
72〜73°F 22%
66〜67°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
華氏61度以下
$2 Vol.
1%
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
3%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
16%
68〜69°F
$198 Vol.
26%
70～71°F
$188 Vol.
46%
72〜73°F
$12 Vol.
22%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
3%
80°F以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate onshore westerly winds for San Francisco on September 13, supporting a high near the long-term seasonal average of 70–71°F. Recent cooling after an early-September heat spike—with a 94°F reading on the 9th—has stabilized marine influence and suppressed further warming, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 68–69°F or 72–73°F ranges. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$401終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate onshore westerly winds for San Francisco on September 13, supporting a high near the long-term seasonal average of 70–71°F. Recent cooling after an early-September heat spike—with a 94°F reading on the 9th—has stabilized marine influence and suppressed further warming, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 68–69°F or 72–73°F ranges. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$401終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate onshore westerly winds for San Francisco on September 13, supporting a high near the long-term seasonal average of 70–71°F. Recent cooling after an early-September heat spike—with a 94°F reading on the 9th—has stabilized marine influence and suppressed further warming, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 68–69°F or 72–73°F ranges. Updated runs expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the final observational adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問