Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 13 point to a high near 100°F under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s close split between the 100-101°F (42.5%) and 98-99°F (34.0%) bins. Forecast consensus reflects typical late-summer warmth exceeding the 1991-2020 average high of 91.6°F, tempered by modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing that can shift the observed maximum by 1-2°F. Historical analogs show September 13 highs reaching or exceeding 100°F in multiple recent years, yet no extreme heat setup is present. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月13日のオースティンの最高気温は？
100～101°F 43%
98〜99°F 34%
102～103°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
1%
92～93°F
1%
94〜95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98〜99°F
34%
100～101°F
43%
102～103°F
13%
104～105°F
5%
106〜107°F
1%
108°F以上
1%
100～101°F 43%
98〜99°F 34%
102～103°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
89°F以下
$247 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$217 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$66 Vol.
1%
94〜95°F
$126 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$638 Vol.
9%
98〜99°F
$452 Vol.
34%
100～101°F
$1,333 Vol.
43%
102～103°F
$163 Vol.
13%
104～105°F
$70 Vol.
5%
106〜107°F
$65 Vol.
1%
108°F以上
$240 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 13 point to a high near 100°F under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s close split between the 100-101°F (42.5%) and 98-99°F (34.0%) bins. Forecast consensus reflects typical late-summer warmth exceeding the 1991-2020 average high of 91.6°F, tempered by modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing that can shift the observed maximum by 1-2°F. Historical analogs show September 13 highs reaching or exceeding 100°F in multiple recent years, yet no extreme heat setup is present. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$3,617終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 13 point to a high near 100°F under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s close split between the 100-101°F (42.5%) and 98-99°F (34.0%) bins. Forecast consensus reflects typical late-summer warmth exceeding the 1991-2020 average high of 91.6°F, tempered by modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing that can shift the observed maximum by 1-2°F. Historical analogs show September 13 highs reaching or exceeding 100°F in multiple recent years, yet no extreme heat setup is present. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,617終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 13 point to a high near 100°F under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s close split between the 100-101°F (42.5%) and 98-99°F (34.0%) bins. Forecast consensus reflects typical late-summer warmth exceeding the 1991-2020 average high of 91.6°F, tempered by modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing that can shift the observed maximum by 1-2°F. Historical analogs show September 13 highs reaching or exceeding 100°F in multiple recent years, yet no extreme heat setup is present. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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