Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and global ensembles indicate a high of 24–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture that caps daytime heating near seasonal norms. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 26°C (43.5% implied probability) and 25°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 13 averages near 22.6°C provide context for the modest upside, while model agreement on light winds and 15–30% precipitation chances reduces upside risk for 27°C or higher. Updated runs overnight and morning briefings will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のトロントの最高気温は?
26℃ 44%
25℃ 26%
27℃ 24%
28℃ 5%
19℃以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25℃
26%
26℃
44%
27℃
24%
28℃
5%
29℃以上
2%
26℃ 44%
25℃ 26%
27℃ 24%
28℃ 5%
19℃以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25℃
26%
26℃
44%
27℃
24%
28℃
5%
29℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and global ensembles indicate a high of 24–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture that caps daytime heating near seasonal norms. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 26°C (43.5% implied probability) and 25°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 13 averages near 22.6°C provide context for the modest upside, while model agreement on light winds and 15–30% precipitation chances reduces upside risk for 27°C or higher. Updated runs overnight and morning briefings will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問