Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Incheon on September 10, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Model consensus points to light winds and stable high pressure, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warm-air advection. These conditions explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 24°C, followed closely by 25°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above reflect limited upside potential from current steering patterns and moisture. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak as observations confirm cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
24℃ 49%
25℃ 23%
23℃ 22%
26℃ 6%
$15,282 Vol.
$15,282 Vol.
19℃以下
1%
20℃
1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
3%
23℃
22%
24℃
49%
25℃
23%
26℃
6%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
24℃ 49%
25℃ 23%
23℃ 22%
26℃ 6%
$15,282 Vol.
$15,282 Vol.
19℃以下
1%
20℃
1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
3%
23℃
22%
24℃
49%
25℃
23%
26℃
6%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Incheon on September 10, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Model consensus points to light winds and stable high pressure, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms without strong warm-air advection. These conditions explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 24°C, followed closely by 25°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above reflect limited upside potential from current steering patterns and moisture. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak as observations confirm cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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