Consensus forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 10 under a stable high-pressure system, with light northerly or variable winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup aligns with seasonal transition patterns, where average highs reach about 27°C but recent dry anticyclonic conditions have produced slightly warmer peaks. Multiple sources converge on a 28–29°C maximum, though minor model spread in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for this temperature bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の北京の最高気温は?
30℃ 54%
29℃ 23%
31℃ 19%
28℃ 5%
$12,014 Vol.
$12,014 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
5%
29℃
23%
30℃
54%
31℃
19%
32℃
<1%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
30℃ 54%
29℃ 23%
31℃ 19%
28℃ 5%
$12,014 Vol.
$12,014 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
5%
29℃
23%
30℃
54%
31℃
19%
32℃
<1%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 10 under a stable high-pressure system, with light northerly or variable winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup aligns with seasonal transition patterns, where average highs reach about 27°C but recent dry anticyclonic conditions have produced slightly warmer peaks. Multiple sources converge on a 28–29°C maximum, though minor model spread in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for this temperature bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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