Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14 °C in Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 28–29 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but sits below the 1991–2020 average low of 17.3 °C, driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7 °C to 32.6 °C, yet recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment remains split, with 18 °C or higher and 8 °C or below each near 36 % implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final observational adjustments or minor steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の北京の最低気温は？
9月10日の北京の最低気温は？
8℃以下 71%
18℃以上 71%
17℃ 39%
12℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
8℃以下
71%
9°C
10%
10℃
21%
11℃
22%
12℃
24%
13℃
22%
14℃
23%
15℃
20%
16℃
20%
17℃
39%
18℃以上
71%
8℃以下 71%
18℃以上 71%
17℃ 39%
12℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
8℃以下
$61 Vol.
71%
9°C
$26 Vol.
10%
10℃
$0 Vol.
21%
11℃
$0 Vol.
22%
12℃
$0 Vol.
24%
13℃
$0 Vol.
22%
14℃
$0 Vol.
23%
15℃
$0 Vol.
20%
16℃
$0 Vol.
20%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃以上
$44 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14 °C in Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 28–29 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but sits below the 1991–2020 average low of 17.3 °C, driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7 °C to 32.6 °C, yet recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment remains split, with 18 °C or higher and 8 °C or below each near 36 % implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final observational adjustments or minor steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$131終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14 °C in Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 28–29 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but sits below the 1991–2020 average low of 17.3 °C, driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7 °C to 32.6 °C, yet recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment remains split, with 18 °C or higher and 8 °C or below each near 36 % implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final observational adjustments or minor steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$131終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14 °C in Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 28–29 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but sits below the 1991–2020 average low of 17.3 °C, driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7 °C to 32.6 °C, yet recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment remains split, with 18 °C or higher and 8 °C or below each near 36 % implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final observational adjustments or minor steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問