Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 10 September, driven by a northwest-to-southwest wind shift ahead of a cold front that will increase cloud cover and bring periods of rain. Springtime sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C and the moderating influence of Cook Strait winds limit daytime warming, while the expected 20–30 km/h southerly flow prevents temperatures from climbing above the mid-teens. Traders have concentrated probability on 14 °C (58 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and aligns closely with the long-term September mean high of 14–15 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月10日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14°C 58%
13℃ 31%
12°C 6%
15℃ 4%
新規
$14,019 Vol.
新規
$14,019 Vol.
2026/09/10
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
1%
12°C
6%
13℃
31%
14°C
58%
15℃
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
14°C 58%
13℃ 31%
12°C 6%
15℃ 4%
新規
$14,019 Vol.
新規
$14,019 Vol.
2026/09/10
8℃以下
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$992 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$1,901 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,875 Vol.
6%
13℃
$1,859 Vol.
31%
14°C
$1,951 Vol.
58%
15℃
$993 Vol.
4%
16°C
$549 Vol.
2%
17°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
18°C以上
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 10 September, driven by a northwest-to-southwest wind shift ahead of a cold front that will increase cloud cover and bring periods of rain. Springtime sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C and the moderating influence of Cook Strait winds limit daytime warming, while the expected 20–30 km/h southerly flow prevents temperatures from climbing above the mid-teens. Traders have concentrated probability on 14 °C (58 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and aligns closely with the long-term September mean high of 14–15 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$14,019終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 10 September, driven by a northwest-to-southwest wind shift ahead of a cold front that will increase cloud cover and bring periods of rain. Springtime sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C and the moderating influence of Cook Strait winds limit daytime warming, while the expected 20–30 km/h southerly flow prevents temperatures from climbing above the mid-teens. Traders have concentrated probability on 14 °C (58 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and aligns closely with the long-term September mean high of 14–15 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,019終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 10 September, driven by a northwest-to-southwest wind shift ahead of a cold front that will increase cloud cover and bring periods of rain. Springtime sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C and the moderating influence of Cook Strait winds limit daytime warming, while the expected 20–30 km/h southerly flow prevents temperatures from climbing above the mid-teens. Traders have concentrated probability on 14 °C (58 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) because ensemble guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and aligns closely with the long-term September mean high of 14–15 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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