**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の釜山の最低気温は？
9月12日の釜山の最低気温は？
18°C 98%
15℃以下 4%
16℃ 4%
17°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
4%
16℃
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
98%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
18°C 98%
15℃以下 4%
16℃ 4%
17°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
16℃
$40 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$62 Vol.
98%
19℃
$126 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$85 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$343終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$343終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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