Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Wednesday high of 83–86°F for New York City, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This consensus places the 84–85°F bin as the modal outcome at 44.5% implied probability, with 82–83°F and 86–87°F bins capturing residual model spread and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Recent observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show daily maxima of 80–85°F under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous warmth or an approaching cool front. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月9日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84～85°F 45%
82～83°F 24%
86～87°F 23%
88〜89°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
華氏75度以下
<1%
76～77°F
1%
78〜79°F
2%
80～81°F
4%
82～83°F
24%
84～85°F
45%
86～87°F
23%
88〜89°F
5%
90～91°F
2%
92～93°F
1%
94°F以上
<1%
84～85°F 45%
82～83°F 24%
86～87°F 23%
88〜89°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
華氏75度以下
$234 Vol.
<1%
76～77°F
$236 Vol.
1%
78〜79°F
$118 Vol.
2%
80～81°F
$326 Vol.
4%
82～83°F
$754 Vol.
24%
84～85°F
$1,308 Vol.
45%
86～87°F
$2,285 Vol.
23%
88〜89°F
$438 Vol.
5%
90～91°F
$127 Vol.
2%
92～93°F
$190 Vol.
1%
94°F以上
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Wednesday high of 83–86°F for New York City, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This consensus places the 84–85°F bin as the modal outcome at 44.5% implied probability, with 82–83°F and 86–87°F bins capturing residual model spread and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Recent observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show daily maxima of 80–85°F under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous warmth or an approaching cool front. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
音量
$6,193終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Wednesday high of 83–86°F for New York City, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This consensus places the 84–85°F bin as the modal outcome at 44.5% implied probability, with 82–83°F and 86–87°F bins capturing residual model spread and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Recent observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show daily maxima of 80–85°F under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous warmth or an approaching cool front. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,193終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Wednesday high of 83–86°F for New York City, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This consensus places the 84–85°F bin as the modal outcome at 44.5% implied probability, with 82–83°F and 86–87°F bins capturing residual model spread and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Recent observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show daily maxima of 80–85°F under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous warmth or an approaching cool front. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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