Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local monitoring indicate a peak temperature near 34–35°C for Guangzhou on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon climate. This aligns with seasonal norms where the 1991–2020 average high reaches 32.6°C, though recent days have seen readings up to 34°C amid stable atmospheric conditions without strong cooling fronts or extreme heat advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on afternoon maxima while acknowledging model spread and the potential for slight revisions from real-time observations. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with low odds on outliers given current steering patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の広州の最高気温は?
36℃ 48%
35℃ 43%
37℃ 6%
39℃以上 <1%
$25,094 Vol.
$25,094 Vol.
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
43%
36℃
48%
37℃
6%
38℃
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
36℃ 48%
35℃ 43%
37℃ 6%
39℃以上 <1%
$25,094 Vol.
$25,094 Vol.
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
43%
36℃
48%
37℃
6%
38℃
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local monitoring indicate a peak temperature near 34–35°C for Guangzhou on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon climate. This aligns with seasonal norms where the 1991–2020 average high reaches 32.6°C, though recent days have seen readings up to 34°C amid stable atmospheric conditions without strong cooling fronts or extreme heat advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on afternoon maxima while acknowledging model spread and the potential for slight revisions from real-time observations. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with low odds on outliers given current steering patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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