Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a daily maximum near 22°C for Paris on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and current short-range guidance showing afternoon peaks around 21–23°C. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 22°C at 59.5% because model spread remains narrow this close to the date, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the peak by 1°C either way. Official station observations from Météo-France will determine resolution once finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のパリの最高気温は?
22℃ 60%
23℃ 19%
21℃ 16%
24°C 5%
$12,667 Vol.
$12,667 Vol.
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
3%
21℃
16%
22℃
60%
23℃
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22℃ 60%
23℃ 19%
21℃ 16%
24°C 5%
$12,667 Vol.
$12,667 Vol.
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
3%
21℃
16%
22℃
60%
23℃
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a daily maximum near 22°C for Paris on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C and current short-range guidance showing afternoon peaks around 21–23°C. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 22°C at 59.5% because model spread remains narrow this close to the date, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the peak by 1°C either way. Official station observations from Météo-France will determine resolution once finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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