Recent observational data and forecast verification from NOAA's Paris-Le Bourget station confirm a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow after frontal passage, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.4°C for early September and GFS model consensus projecting limited warming amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions matching the resolution criteria. A shift in steering patterns allowing clearer skies or a delayed frontal influence could realistically push readings to 23°C or higher, though current model agreement and real-time measurements make such deviations unlikely before final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のパリの最高気温は?
22°C 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18℃ <1%
$65,031 Vol.
$65,031 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
はい
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃以上
いいえ
22°C 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18℃ <1%
$65,031 Vol.
$65,031 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
はい
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent observational data and forecast verification from NOAA's Paris-Le Bourget station confirm a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow after frontal passage, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.4°C for early September and GFS model consensus projecting limited warming amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions matching the resolution criteria. A shift in steering patterns allowing clearer skies or a delayed frontal influence could realistically push readings to 23°C or higher, though current model agreement and real-time measurements make such deviations unlikely before final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問