Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のパリの最低気温は?
9℃ 36%
8°C 33%
7°C以下 18%
10°C 14%
7°C以下
18%
8°C
33%
9℃
36%
10°C
14%
11℃
5%
12℃
5%
13℃
3%
14°C
1%
15℃
3%
16°C
1%
17℃以上
3%
9℃ 36%
8°C 33%
7°C以下 18%
10°C 14%
7°C以下
18%
8°C
33%
9℃
36%
10°C
14%
11℃
5%
12℃
5%
13℃
3%
14°C
1%
15℃
3%
16°C
1%
17℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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