Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 11 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, consistent with the market-implied concentration around 13–14 °C. Trader positioning reflects the narrow spread in ensemble runs, where modest increases in cloud cover or dew-point suppression could limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 15 °C or higher, while clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor 12 °C or below. Historical September 11 lows average 11.9 °C but recent days have run milder, and final resolution depends on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading; updated model cycles and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders will monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のパリの最低気温は？
9月11日のパリの最低気温は？
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 17%
15°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
10℃以下
6%
11℃
15%
12°C
17%
13°C
32%
14°C
40%
15°C
16%
16℃
13%
17℃
3%
18°C
3%
19℃
3%
20℃以上
3%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 17%
15°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
10℃以下
$0 Vol.
6%
11℃
$0 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$440 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16℃
$0 Vol.
13%
17℃
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19℃
$0 Vol.
3%
20℃以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 11 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, consistent with the market-implied concentration around 13–14 °C. Trader positioning reflects the narrow spread in ensemble runs, where modest increases in cloud cover or dew-point suppression could limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 15 °C or higher, while clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor 12 °C or below. Historical September 11 lows average 11.9 °C but recent days have run milder, and final resolution depends on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading; updated model cycles and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders will monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$440終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 11 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, consistent with the market-implied concentration around 13–14 °C. Trader positioning reflects the narrow spread in ensemble runs, where modest increases in cloud cover or dew-point suppression could limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 15 °C or higher, while clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor 12 °C or below. Historical September 11 lows average 11.9 °C but recent days have run milder, and final resolution depends on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading; updated model cycles and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders will monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$440終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 11 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, consistent with the market-implied concentration around 13–14 °C. Trader positioning reflects the narrow spread in ensemble runs, where modest increases in cloud cover or dew-point suppression could limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 15 °C or higher, while clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor 12 °C or below. Historical September 11 lows average 11.9 °C but recent days have run milder, and final resolution depends on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading; updated model cycles and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders will monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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