Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月11日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
18℃ 47%
17°C 25%
19℃ 21%
16°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
14℃以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
25%
18℃
47%
19℃
21%
20℃
4%
21℃
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
18℃ 47%
17°C 25%
19℃ 21%
16°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
14℃以下
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$130 Vol.
1%
16°C
$549 Vol.
5%
17°C
$1,780 Vol.
25%
18℃
$764 Vol.
47%
19℃
$1,762 Vol.
21%
20℃
$350 Vol.
4%
21℃
$381 Vol.
2%
22°C
$226 Vol.
1%
23°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$6,481終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,481終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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