Recent forecast consensus from GFS and regional models indicates Istanbul's September 11 maximum will reach 27–28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with typical early-September climatology near 26°C while current conditions show minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence. Traders' strong preference for 25°C (53% implied probability) may reflect measurement-station specifics or model spread, yet observed trends and ensemble outputs favor slightly warmer outcomes. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected in the next 48 hours could refine the final daily high before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
9月11日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
25°C 56%
26℃ 26%
24°C 21%
23℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
21℃以下
2%
22℃
6%
23℃
10%
24°C
21%
25°C
56%
26℃
26%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29℃
4%
30℃
4%
31℃以上
4%
25°C 56%
26℃ 26%
24°C 21%
23℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
21℃以下
$151 Vol.
2%
22℃
$0 Vol.
6%
23℃
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$40 Vol.
21%
25°C
$239 Vol.
56%
26℃
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29℃
$0 Vol.
4%
30℃
$0 Vol.
4%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from GFS and regional models indicates Istanbul's September 11 maximum will reach 27–28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with typical early-September climatology near 26°C while current conditions show minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence. Traders' strong preference for 25°C (53% implied probability) may reflect measurement-station specifics or model spread, yet observed trends and ensemble outputs favor slightly warmer outcomes. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected in the next 48 hours could refine the final daily high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$430終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from GFS and regional models indicates Istanbul's September 11 maximum will reach 27–28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with typical early-September climatology near 26°C while current conditions show minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence. Traders' strong preference for 25°C (53% implied probability) may reflect measurement-station specifics or model spread, yet observed trends and ensemble outputs favor slightly warmer outcomes. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected in the next 48 hours could refine the final daily high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$430終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from GFS and regional models indicates Istanbul's September 11 maximum will reach 27–28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with typical early-September climatology near 26°C while current conditions show minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence. Traders' strong preference for 25°C (53% implied probability) may reflect measurement-station specifics or model spread, yet observed trends and ensemble outputs favor slightly warmer outcomes. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected in the next 48 hours could refine the final daily high before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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