Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の青島の最低気温は?
26℃以上 81%
16°C以下 66%
17°C 40%
21℃ 40%
16°C以下
66%
17°C
40%
18℃
31%
19℃
26%
20°C
24%
21℃
40%
22°C
9%
23℃
6%
24℃
13%
25℃
13%
26℃以上
81%
26℃以上 81%
16°C以下 66%
17°C 40%
21℃ 40%
16°C以下
66%
17°C
40%
18℃
31%
19℃
26%
20°C
24%
21℃
40%
22°C
9%
23℃
6%
24℃
13%
25℃
13%
26℃以上
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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