Current meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show the overnight minimum in Paris stabilizing near 12°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market's 99% implied probability for that exact threshold. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points and surface pressure readings consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions, has driven the consensus. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet this year's warmer baseline has not overridden the observed trend. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could push readings to 13°C or higher, though model agreement and real-time station data make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のパリの最低気温は？
9月12日のパリの最低気温は？
12℃ 99.4%
10℃ 1.9%
8°C以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
$12,457 Vol.
$12,457 Vol.
2026/09/12
8°C以下
1%
9℃
1%
10℃
2%
11℃
1%
12℃
99%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
12℃ 99.4%
10℃ 1.9%
8°C以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
$12,457 Vol.
$12,457 Vol.
2026/09/12
8°C以下
$95 Vol.
1%
9℃
$15 Vol.
1%
10℃
$95 Vol.
2%
11℃
$1,169 Vol.
1%
12℃
$2,309 Vol.
99%
13°C
$5,997 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$2,492 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$234 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
18℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show the overnight minimum in Paris stabilizing near 12°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market's 99% implied probability for that exact threshold. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points and surface pressure readings consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions, has driven the consensus. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet this year's warmer baseline has not overridden the observed trend. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could push readings to 13°C or higher, though model agreement and real-time station data make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$12,457終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show the overnight minimum in Paris stabilizing near 12°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market's 99% implied probability for that exact threshold. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points and surface pressure readings consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions, has driven the consensus. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet this year's warmer baseline has not overridden the observed trend. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could push readings to 13°C or higher, though model agreement and real-time station data make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,457終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France show the overnight minimum in Paris stabilizing near 12°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market's 99% implied probability for that exact threshold. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points and surface pressure readings consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions, has driven the consensus. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet this year's warmer baseline has not overridden the observed trend. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could push readings to 13°C or higher, though model agreement and real-time station data make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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