Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight period for Paris on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.0%), reflecting trader consensus on limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low near 12°C. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without significant cold advection, though minor ensemble spread could allow a dip to 14°C or a brief hold near 17–18°C depending on cloud cover evolution. Official Météo-France observations will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のパリの最低気温は？
9月14日のパリの最低気温は？
16℃ 41%
15°C 23%
14℃ 20%
17°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
10%
13℃
3%
14℃
20%
15°C
23%
16℃
41%
17°C
19%
18℃
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21℃
2%
22℃以上
2%
16℃ 41%
15°C 23%
14℃ 20%
17°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
10%
13℃
$0 Vol.
3%
14℃
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$374 Vol.
23%
16℃
$339 Vol.
41%
17°C
$191 Vol.
19%
18℃
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$42 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21℃
$0 Vol.
2%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight period for Paris on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.0%), reflecting trader consensus on limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low near 12°C. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without significant cold advection, though minor ensemble spread could allow a dip to 14°C or a brief hold near 17–18°C depending on cloud cover evolution. Official Météo-France observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$946終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight period for Paris on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.0%), reflecting trader consensus on limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low near 12°C. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without significant cold advection, though minor ensemble spread could allow a dip to 14°C or a brief hold near 17–18°C depending on cloud cover evolution. Official Météo-France observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$946終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight period for Paris on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.0%), reflecting trader consensus on limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low near 12°C. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without significant cold advection, though minor ensemble spread could allow a dip to 14°C or a brief hold near 17–18°C depending on cloud cover evolution. Official Météo-France observations will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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