Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の広州の最高気温は？
9月15日の広州の最高気温は？
34°C 33%
35℃ 24%
33℃ 23%
32℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
27℃以下
1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31℃
5%
32℃
14%
33℃
23%
34°C
33%
35℃
24%
36℃
6%
37℃以上
2%
34°C 33%
35℃ 24%
33℃ 23%
32℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
27℃以下
$142 Vol.
1%
28℃
$68 Vol.
1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31℃
$88 Vol.
5%
32℃
$28 Vol.
14%
33℃
$39 Vol.
23%
34°C
$19 Vol.
33%
35℃
$148 Vol.
24%
36℃
$328 Vol.
6%
37℃以上
$59 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
音量
$979終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$979終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETRecent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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