Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend on September 16 driven by increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances, shifting from clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week. Multiple models project daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around those levels, as reduced solar heating and potential showers limit peak temperatures compared to recent 30–32°C readings. Seasonal September averages near 29–30°C provide context, though the approaching weather pattern introduces variability in exact maximums depending on timing and intensity of moisture. Traders appear focused on refinements from updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の武漢の最高気温は?
29℃ 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 17%
32℃以上 14%
22℃以下
4%
23°C
4%
24℃
4%
25℃
8%
26℃
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29℃
23%
30℃
13%
31℃
5%
32℃以上
14%
29℃ 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 17%
32℃以上 14%
22℃以下
4%
23°C
4%
24℃
4%
25℃
8%
26℃
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29℃
23%
30℃
13%
31℃
5%
32℃以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating trend on September 16 driven by increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances, shifting from clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week. Multiple models project daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around those levels, as reduced solar heating and potential showers limit peak temperatures compared to recent 30–32°C readings. Seasonal September averages near 29–30°C provide context, though the approaching weather pattern introduces variability in exact maximums depending on timing and intensity of moisture. Traders appear focused on refinements from updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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