Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の広州の最低気温は？
9月15日の広州の最低気温は？
26℃ 99%
24°C 1.0%
25℃ 1.0%
20℃以下 <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
2026/09/15
20℃以下
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
26℃ 99%
24°C 1.0%
25℃ 1.0%
20℃以下 <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
2026/09/15
20℃以下
$22 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$10 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$26 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$149 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$121 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$84 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$252 Vol.
はい
27℃
$250 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$137 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$16 Vol.
いいえ
30°C以上
$26 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
音量
$1,093終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,093終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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