Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position a 31°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for September 16, citing generally fine conditions under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, with humidity 60-85% and low rain probability. This aligns with mid-September climatology near 30-31°C and follows recent northeast monsoon influence that has suppressed stronger daytime heating while clearing skies after earlier showers. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread around 30-31°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (42.5%) to 31°C and notable support for 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized effects. Updated HKO guidance or new observational data could refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の香港の最高気温は？
9月16日の香港の最高気温は？
31℃ 43%
30°C 25%
32℃ 20%
29°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31℃
43%
32℃
20%
33℃
3%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 43%
30°C 25%
32℃ 20%
29°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
25°C以下
$684 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$351 Vol.
4%
29°C
$403 Vol.
9%
30°C
$897 Vol.
25%
31℃
$1,783 Vol.
43%
32℃
$881 Vol.
20%
33℃
$529 Vol.
3%
34℃
$207 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position a 31°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for September 16, citing generally fine conditions under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, with humidity 60-85% and low rain probability. This aligns with mid-September climatology near 30-31°C and follows recent northeast monsoon influence that has suppressed stronger daytime heating while clearing skies after earlier showers. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread around 30-31°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (42.5%) to 31°C and notable support for 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized effects. Updated HKO guidance or new observational data could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$6,648終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position a 31°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for September 16, citing generally fine conditions under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, with humidity 60-85% and low rain probability. This aligns with mid-September climatology near 30-31°C and follows recent northeast monsoon influence that has suppressed stronger daytime heating while clearing skies after earlier showers. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread around 30-31°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (42.5%) to 31°C and notable support for 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized effects. Updated HKO guidance or new observational data could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,648終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position a 31°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for September 16, citing generally fine conditions under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, with humidity 60-85% and low rain probability. This aligns with mid-September climatology near 30-31°C and follows recent northeast monsoon influence that has suppressed stronger daytime heating while clearing skies after earlier showers. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread around 30-31°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (42.5%) to 31°C and notable support for 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized effects. Updated HKO guidance or new observational data could refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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