Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity. This positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59.5% implied probability, with 29°C at 20% reflecting minor upside potential from localized heating. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have kept conditions dry and consistent over the past several days, aligning with climatological September maxima around 27–28°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and any subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the daily peak by 1°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の上海の最高気温は？
9月15日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 60%
29℃ 20%
27°C 15%
25°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
24℃以下
4%
25°C
7%
26℃
5%
27°C
15%
28℃
60%
29℃
20%
30°C
4%
31℃
3%
32℃
5%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
1%
28℃ 60%
29℃ 20%
27°C 15%
25°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
24℃以下
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$70 Vol.
7%
26℃
$98 Vol.
5%
27°C
$419 Vol.
15%
28℃
$645 Vol.
60%
29℃
$539 Vol.
20%
30°C
$93 Vol.
4%
31℃
$10 Vol.
3%
32℃
$10 Vol.
5%
33℃
$10 Vol.
2%
34℃以上
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity. This positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59.5% implied probability, with 29°C at 20% reflecting minor upside potential from localized heating. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have kept conditions dry and consistent over the past several days, aligning with climatological September maxima around 27–28°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and any subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the daily peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
音量
$1,913終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity. This positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59.5% implied probability, with 29°C at 20% reflecting minor upside potential from localized heating. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have kept conditions dry and consistent over the past several days, aligning with climatological September maxima around 27–28°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and any subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the daily peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,913終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRecent short-range forecasts from major models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity. This positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59.5% implied probability, with 29°C at 20% reflecting minor upside potential from localized heating. Persistent high pressure and stable steering patterns have kept conditions dry and consistent over the past several days, aligning with climatological September maxima around 27–28°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and any subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could alter the daily peak by 1°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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