Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where monsoon remnants and regional moisture suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Consensus across sources points to a peak near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain, though slight variations in timing or intensity could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of 25–26°C outcomes highest amid model agreement, with new guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の成都の最高気温は？
9月17日の成都の最高気温は？
26°C 35%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 20%
24℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
21°C以下
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24℃
11%
25℃
24%
26°C
35%
27℃
20%
28℃
10%
29℃
3%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
<1%
26°C 35%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 20%
24℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
21°C以下
$88 Vol.
1%
22℃
$103 Vol.
2%
23℃
$110 Vol.
4%
24℃
$835 Vol.
11%
25℃
$186 Vol.
24%
26°C
$691 Vol.
35%
27℃
$1,179 Vol.
20%
28℃
$426 Vol.
10%
29℃
$178 Vol.
3%
30℃
$215 Vol.
2%
31℃以上
$293 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where monsoon remnants and regional moisture suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Consensus across sources points to a peak near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain, though slight variations in timing or intensity could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of 25–26°C outcomes highest amid model agreement, with new guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$4,303終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where monsoon remnants and regional moisture suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Consensus across sources points to a peak near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain, though slight variations in timing or intensity could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of 25–26°C outcomes highest amid model agreement, with new guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,303終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where monsoon remnants and regional moisture suppress maxima below seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Consensus across sources points to a peak near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain, though slight variations in timing or intensity could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of 25–26°C outcomes highest amid model agreement, with new guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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