Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated on September 15, show Munich reaching a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 50–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and showers that could suppress peak readings. This positions 26°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 25°C close behind, as models diverge slightly on cloud cover, wind speeds from the west-northwest, and timing of precipitation that would cap temperatures near or below the 25–26°C range. Above-average warmth relative to the 19.6°C September climatological mean reflects recent warm advection, yet the elevated rain probability and historical precedent of variable September highs introduce uncertainty that aligns with the market’s spread across 24–27°C bins. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月16日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
26℃ 43%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 15%
24°C 13%
新規
$13,878 Vol.
新規
$13,878 Vol.
2026/09/16
23℃以下
5%
24°C
13%
25℃
24%
26℃
43%
27℃
15%
28℃
4%
29℃
1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
26℃ 43%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 15%
24°C 13%
新規
$13,878 Vol.
新規
$13,878 Vol.
2026/09/16
23℃以下
$1,232 Vol.
5%
24°C
$774 Vol.
13%
25℃
$2,204 Vol.
24%
26℃
$2,073 Vol.
43%
27℃
$2,149 Vol.
15%
28℃
$1,131 Vol.
4%
29℃
$164 Vol.
1%
30℃
$225 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$1,202 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
33°C以上
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated on September 15, show Munich reaching a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 50–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and showers that could suppress peak readings. This positions 26°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 25°C close behind, as models diverge slightly on cloud cover, wind speeds from the west-northwest, and timing of precipitation that would cap temperatures near or below the 25–26°C range. Above-average warmth relative to the 19.6°C September climatological mean reflects recent warm advection, yet the elevated rain probability and historical precedent of variable September highs introduce uncertainty that aligns with the market’s spread across 24–27°C bins. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$13,878終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated on September 15, show Munich reaching a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 50–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and showers that could suppress peak readings. This positions 26°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 25°C close behind, as models diverge slightly on cloud cover, wind speeds from the west-northwest, and timing of precipitation that would cap temperatures near or below the 25–26°C range. Above-average warmth relative to the 19.6°C September climatological mean reflects recent warm advection, yet the elevated rain probability and historical precedent of variable September highs introduce uncertainty that aligns with the market’s spread across 24–27°C bins. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,878終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs updated on September 15, show Munich reaching a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 50–80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and showers that could suppress peak readings. This positions 26°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 25°C close behind, as models diverge slightly on cloud cover, wind speeds from the west-northwest, and timing of precipitation that would cap temperatures near or below the 25–26°C range. Above-average warmth relative to the 19.6°C September climatological mean reflects recent warm advection, yet the elevated rain probability and historical precedent of variable September highs introduce uncertainty that aligns with the market’s spread across 24–27°C bins. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問