**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 23–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly to northeasterly winds associated with a passing frontal system.** These conditions limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared to typical mid-September climatology, when highs often reach 26–28°C. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with only brief clearing possible, keeping values below seasonal norms. Recent observations show Tokyo experiencing below-average temperatures amid ongoing precipitation, reinforcing trader positioning around the 23–25°C range as the most likely outcomes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on steering patterns and cloud trends will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の東京の最高気温は?
24°C 39%
23℃ 25%
25℃ 22%
22℃ 9%
19℃以下
2%
20℃
2%
21℃
4%
22℃
9%
23℃
25%
24°C
39%
25℃
22%
26℃
5%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
24°C 39%
23℃ 25%
25℃ 22%
22℃ 9%
19℃以下
2%
20℃
2%
21℃
4%
22℃
9%
23℃
25%
24°C
39%
25℃
22%
26℃
5%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 23–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly to northeasterly winds associated with a passing frontal system.** These conditions limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared to typical mid-September climatology, when highs often reach 26–28°C. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with only brief clearing possible, keeping values below seasonal norms. Recent observations show Tokyo experiencing below-average temperatures amid ongoing precipitation, reinforcing trader positioning around the 23–25°C range as the most likely outcomes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on steering patterns and cloud trends will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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