Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の広州の最高気温は？
9月22日の広州の最高気温は？
31℃ 36%
35℃ 30%
34℃ 22%
32℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
27℃以下
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
2%
30℃
15%
31℃
36%
32℃
19%
33℃
18%
34℃
22%
35℃
30%
36℃
12%
37℃以上
17%
31℃ 36%
35℃ 30%
34℃ 22%
32℃ 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
27℃以下
$6 Vol.
1%
28℃
$0 Vol.
1%
29℃
$0 Vol.
2%
30℃
$0 Vol.
15%
31℃
$0 Vol.
36%
32℃
$0 Vol.
19%
33℃
$0 Vol.
18%
34℃
$5 Vol.
22%
35℃
$24 Vol.
30%
36℃
$0 Vol.
12%
37℃以上
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$35終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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