Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s September 20 maximum, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official outlook of 27–32°C under persistent anticyclonic conditions aloft and a weakening northeast monsoon. Subsidence suppresses cloud development and enhances daytime heating, while lighter east-to-northeast winds (force 2–3) limit mixing and allow surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Isolated showers possible later in the day introduce modest uncertainty, as convective cooling could cap peaks near 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 31°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the 20th will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の香港の最高気温は？
9月20日の香港の最高気温は？
32℃ 35%
31℃ 33%
33℃ 18%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
10%
30℃
10%
31℃
33%
32℃
35%
33℃
22%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 35%
31℃ 33%
33℃ 18%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
26℃以下
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$68 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29℃
$0 Vol.
10%
30℃
$17 Vol.
10%
31℃
$162 Vol.
33%
32℃
$316 Vol.
35%
33℃
$36 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36℃以上
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s September 20 maximum, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official outlook of 27–32°C under persistent anticyclonic conditions aloft and a weakening northeast monsoon. Subsidence suppresses cloud development and enhances daytime heating, while lighter east-to-northeast winds (force 2–3) limit mixing and allow surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Isolated showers possible later in the day introduce modest uncertainty, as convective cooling could cap peaks near 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 31°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the 20th will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$972終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s September 20 maximum, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official outlook of 27–32°C under persistent anticyclonic conditions aloft and a weakening northeast monsoon. Subsidence suppresses cloud development and enhances daytime heating, while lighter east-to-northeast winds (force 2–3) limit mixing and allow surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Isolated showers possible later in the day introduce modest uncertainty, as convective cooling could cap peaks near 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 31°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the 20th will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$972終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s September 20 maximum, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official outlook of 27–32°C under persistent anticyclonic conditions aloft and a weakening northeast monsoon. Subsidence suppresses cloud development and enhances daytime heating, while lighter east-to-northeast winds (force 2–3) limit mixing and allow surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Isolated showers possible later in the day introduce modest uncertainty, as convective cooling could cap peaks near 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 33°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 31°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the 20th will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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