Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles position a daytime high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 18, reflecting persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating after several days of rain-cooled conditions. Forecasts consistently show afternoon temperatures peaking in the 23–25°C range under overcast skies with light northerly winds around 5–6 m/s and a modest chance of drizzle, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 28°C underscore how the current synoptic pattern has suppressed typical warmth. Updated model runs and early morning observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の東京の最高気温は？
9月18日の東京の最高気温は？
24℃ 37%
25℃ 33%
23°C 18%
26℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
5%
23°C
18%
24℃
37%
25℃
33%
26℃
10%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
24℃ 37%
25℃ 33%
23°C 18%
26℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
19℃以下
$468 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$392 Vol.
1%
21℃
$289 Vol.
2%
22℃
$435 Vol.
5%
23°C
$2,504 Vol.
18%
24℃
$1,092 Vol.
37%
25℃
$1,929 Vol.
33%
26℃
$690 Vol.
10%
27℃
$397 Vol.
2%
28℃
$351 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles position a daytime high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 18, reflecting persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating after several days of rain-cooled conditions. Forecasts consistently show afternoon temperatures peaking in the 23–25°C range under overcast skies with light northerly winds around 5–6 m/s and a modest chance of drizzle, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 28°C underscore how the current synoptic pattern has suppressed typical warmth. Updated model runs and early morning observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$9,187終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles position a daytime high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 18, reflecting persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating after several days of rain-cooled conditions. Forecasts consistently show afternoon temperatures peaking in the 23–25°C range under overcast skies with light northerly winds around 5–6 m/s and a modest chance of drizzle, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 28°C underscore how the current synoptic pattern has suppressed typical warmth. Updated model runs and early morning observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,187終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles position a daytime high near 24°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 18, reflecting persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating after several days of rain-cooled conditions. Forecasts consistently show afternoon temperatures peaking in the 23–25°C range under overcast skies with light northerly winds around 5–6 m/s and a modest chance of drizzle, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 28°C underscore how the current synoptic pattern has suppressed typical warmth. Updated model runs and early morning observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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