Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on overnight radiative cooling and daytime highs around 21–22°C. A warmer outcome above 18°C would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing, while an 8°C or lower reading would need unexpected clear-sky intensification or model shifts not currently supported. Upcoming model runs and official updates overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月18日のトロントの最低気温は？
8°C以下 54%
18℃以上 54%
14℃ 45%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
8°C以下
54%
9°C
39%
10℃
39%
11℃
39%
12℃
39%
13℃
40%
14℃
45%
15°C
21%
16℃
21%
17℃
40%
18℃以上
54%
8°C以下 54%
18℃以上 54%
14℃ 45%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
54%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11℃
$0 Vol.
39%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃
$0 Vol.
40%
14℃
$12 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16℃
$0 Vol.
21%
17℃
$0 Vol.
40%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on overnight radiative cooling and daytime highs around 21–22°C. A warmer outcome above 18°C would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing, while an 8°C or lower reading would need unexpected clear-sky intensification or model shifts not currently supported. Upcoming model runs and official updates overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on overnight radiative cooling and daytime highs around 21–22°C. A warmer outcome above 18°C would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing, while an 8°C or lower reading would need unexpected clear-sky intensification or model shifts not currently supported. Upcoming model runs and official updates overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETForecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on overnight radiative cooling and daytime highs around 21–22°C. A warmer outcome above 18°C would require stronger southerly flow or delayed clearing, while an 8°C or lower reading would need unexpected clear-sky intensification or model shifts not currently supported. Upcoming model runs and official updates overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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