Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs near 19–20°C reflect seasonal cooling from summer peaks. Slight model variations around 21–22°C underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) over 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate the upper end of guidance ranges. Official observations from agencies like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with any final model runs before peak heating offering the last potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
22°C 64%
21℃ 30%
23℃ 10%
20°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
2%
21℃
30%
22°C
64%
23℃
10%
24℃
1%
25°C
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22°C 64%
21℃ 30%
23℃ 10%
20°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
17°C以下
$571 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$486 Vol.
2%
21℃
$1,347 Vol.
30%
22°C
$2,102 Vol.
64%
23℃
$1,036 Vol.
10%
24℃
$312 Vol.
1%
25°C
$265 Vol.
1%
26℃
$111 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs near 19–20°C reflect seasonal cooling from summer peaks. Slight model variations around 21–22°C underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) over 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate the upper end of guidance ranges. Official observations from agencies like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with any final model runs before peak heating offering the last potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$6,800終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs near 19–20°C reflect seasonal cooling from summer peaks. Slight model variations around 21–22°C underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) over 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate the upper end of guidance ranges. Official observations from agencies like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with any final model runs before peak heating offering the last potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,800終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs near 19–20°C reflect seasonal cooling from summer peaks. Slight model variations around 21–22°C underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) over 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate the upper end of guidance ranges. Official observations from agencies like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution, with any final model runs before peak heating offering the last potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問