**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions 15°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on September 18.** Multiple runs of the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models show a mild spring day with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and highs clustering between 14–15°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Official guidance highlights a low precipitation risk and modest diurnal warming under stable high pressure, narrowing the likely range to 14–16°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight distribution, with 15°C capturing the central tendency while 14°C and 16°C account for minor model spread and local microclimate variability typical of Wellington’s topography. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月18日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 66%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 2%
新規
$12,433 Vol.
新規
$12,433 Vol.
2026/09/18
9℃以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
66%
16°C
16%
17℃
2%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 2%
新規
$12,433 Vol.
新規
$12,433 Vol.
2026/09/18
9℃以下
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$605 Vol.
1%
13°C
$880 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,166 Vol.
18%
15°C
$3,557 Vol.
66%
16°C
$2,665 Vol.
16%
17℃
$820 Vol.
2%
18℃
$577 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions 15°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on September 18.** Multiple runs of the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models show a mild spring day with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and highs clustering between 14–15°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Official guidance highlights a low precipitation risk and modest diurnal warming under stable high pressure, narrowing the likely range to 14–16°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight distribution, with 15°C capturing the central tendency while 14°C and 16°C account for minor model spread and local microclimate variability typical of Wellington’s topography. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$12,433終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions 15°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on September 18.** Multiple runs of the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models show a mild spring day with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and highs clustering between 14–15°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Official guidance highlights a low precipitation risk and modest diurnal warming under stable high pressure, narrowing the likely range to 14–16°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight distribution, with 15°C capturing the central tendency while 14°C and 16°C account for minor model spread and local microclimate variability typical of Wellington’s topography. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,433終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions 15°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on September 18.** Multiple runs of the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models show a mild spring day with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and highs clustering between 14–15°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Official guidance highlights a low precipitation risk and modest diurnal warming under stable high pressure, narrowing the likely range to 14–16°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight distribution, with 15°C capturing the central tendency while 14°C and 16°C account for minor model spread and local microclimate variability typical of Wellington’s topography. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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