**Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on 18 September points to skies clearing overnight after scattered morning rain, with light southerly winds easing and dew points near 7–8 °C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, keeping the minimum temperature most likely in the 6–9 °C range that dominates current market pricing. Key variables still differentiating the tightly bunched 6 °C, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes include the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks (more clear sky accelerates cooling), sustained wind speeds above 10 km/h (which limit surface temperature drops), and any residual moisture from earlier showers that could raise the dew point. Historical September overnight lows average near 9–10 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure influence rather than a broader anomaly. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
9月18日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
5°C 40%
6℃ 40%
10℃ 40%
11℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
4℃以下
2%
5°C
40%
6℃
40%
7°C
22%
8℃
28%
9°C
21%
10℃
40%
11℃
40%
12°C
40%
13℃
2%
14℃以上
2%
5°C 40%
6℃ 40%
10℃ 40%
11℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
4℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
5°C
$0 Vol.
40%
6℃
$30 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8℃
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10℃
$0 Vol.
40%
11℃
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13℃
$0 Vol.
2%
14℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on 18 September points to skies clearing overnight after scattered morning rain, with light southerly winds easing and dew points near 7–8 °C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, keeping the minimum temperature most likely in the 6–9 °C range that dominates current market pricing. Key variables still differentiating the tightly bunched 6 °C, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes include the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks (more clear sky accelerates cooling), sustained wind speeds above 10 km/h (which limit surface temperature drops), and any residual moisture from earlier showers that could raise the dew point. Historical September overnight lows average near 9–10 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure influence rather than a broader anomaly. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on 18 September points to skies clearing overnight after scattered morning rain, with light southerly winds easing and dew points near 7–8 °C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, keeping the minimum temperature most likely in the 6–9 °C range that dominates current market pricing. Key variables still differentiating the tightly bunched 6 °C, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes include the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks (more clear sky accelerates cooling), sustained wind speeds above 10 km/h (which limit surface temperature drops), and any residual moisture from earlier showers that could raise the dew point. Historical September overnight lows average near 9–10 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure influence rather than a broader anomaly. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on 18 September points to skies clearing overnight after scattered morning rain, with light southerly winds easing and dew points near 7–8 °C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, keeping the minimum temperature most likely in the 6–9 °C range that dominates current market pricing. Key variables still differentiating the tightly bunched 6 °C, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes include the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks (more clear sky accelerates cooling), sustained wind speeds above 10 km/h (which limit surface temperature drops), and any residual moisture from earlier showers that could raise the dew point. Historical September overnight lows average near 9–10 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure influence rather than a broader anomaly. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問