Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の青島の最高気温は？
9月19日の青島の最高気温は？
30℃ 55%
29℃ 33%
31°C 11%
27℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27℃
8%
28℃
6%
29℃
33%
30℃
55%
31°C
11%
32℃以上
4%
30℃ 55%
29℃ 33%
31°C 11%
27℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
22℃以下
$193 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27℃
$0 Vol.
8%
28℃
$17 Vol.
6%
29℃
$50 Vol.
33%
30℃
$321 Vol.
55%
31°C
$92 Vol.
11%
32℃以上
$17 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$752終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$752終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show stable high-pressure ridging over the Yellow Sea, with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near 25–27 °C for Qingdao on September 19. This places the most likely outcomes in the upper 20s °C range, aligning with climatological September averages for the coastal station while reflecting modest warming from recent sea-surface temperatures around 24–25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 32.5 % for 29 °C suggests some models or ensemble members still allow for localized heating under clearer skies or slight model bias toward warmer solutions. Updated runs and official observations on the 18th–19th will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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