Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 20–21 °C for Amsterdam on September 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while light showers and 15–20 mph winds enhance mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight spread between the 20 °C (35.5 %) and 21 °C (43.5 %) outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum amid modest model spread and ongoing precipitation. Historical late-September averages near 19 °C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official KNMI guidance for any late shifts in cloud timing or wind strength before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月19日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
21℃ 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 16%
19℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
3%
18℃
7%
19℃
8%
20°C
36%
21℃
44%
22°C
16%
23℃
5%
24°C
3%
25℃
1%
26℃以上
<1%
21℃ 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 16%
19℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16°C以下
$17 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$0 Vol.
3%
18℃
$0 Vol.
7%
19℃
$13 Vol.
8%
20°C
$173 Vol.
36%
21℃
$166 Vol.
44%
22°C
$6 Vol.
16%
23℃
$9 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25℃
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃以上
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 20–21 °C for Amsterdam on September 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while light showers and 15–20 mph winds enhance mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight spread between the 20 °C (35.5 %) and 21 °C (43.5 %) outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum amid modest model spread and ongoing precipitation. Historical late-September averages near 19 °C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official KNMI guidance for any late shifts in cloud timing or wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$605終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 20–21 °C for Amsterdam on September 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while light showers and 15–20 mph winds enhance mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight spread between the 20 °C (35.5 %) and 21 °C (43.5 %) outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum amid modest model spread and ongoing precipitation. Historical late-September averages near 19 °C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official KNMI guidance for any late shifts in cloud timing or wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$605終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 20–21 °C for Amsterdam on September 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while light showers and 15–20 mph winds enhance mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight spread between the 20 °C (35.5 %) and 21 °C (43.5 %) outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum amid modest model spread and ongoing precipitation. Historical late-September averages near 19 °C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official KNMI guidance for any late shifts in cloud timing or wind strength before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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