Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Busan on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and moderate cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup follows heavier rain on September 18 and aligns with typical late-September climatology, where highs average 25–26°C without strong high-pressure ridging or southerly flow to boost temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds—27°C at 46%, 26°C at 28.5%, and 28°C at 22.5%—captures this range while assigning low probability to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact maximum under the prevailing wind and cloud regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の釜山の最高気温は?
27℃ 48%
26°C 31%
28°C 14%
25℃ 8%
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
2%
25℃
8%
26°C
31%
27℃
48%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31℃
2%
32℃以上
1%
27℃ 48%
26°C 31%
28°C 14%
25℃ 8%
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
2%
25℃
8%
26°C
31%
27℃
48%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31℃
2%
32℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Busan on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and moderate cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup follows heavier rain on September 18 and aligns with typical late-September climatology, where highs average 25–26°C without strong high-pressure ridging or southerly flow to boost temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds—27°C at 46%, 26°C at 28.5%, and 28°C at 22.5%—captures this range while assigning low probability to extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact maximum under the prevailing wind and cloud regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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