Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's maximum temperature on September 19 will likely reach 23–25°C under clear skies and moderate southeast winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Springtime high pressure promotes subsidence and solar heating while the Atlantic's cool marine layer and typical southeasterlies (the "Cape Doctor") limit extremes compared to berg-wind events. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, with the current warming trend and low precipitation chances elevating probabilities for the upper end of the normal range. Model consensus and minimal expected variability keep lower or higher outcomes at single-digit odds ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
9月19日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
21℃ 37%
24℃ 30%
25℃ 29%
23℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
18℃以下
1%
19℃
3%
20°C
4%
21℃
37%
22℃
13%
23℃
26%
24℃
30%
25℃
29%
26℃
20%
27℃
18%
28℃以上
4%
21℃ 37%
24℃ 30%
25℃ 29%
23℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
18℃以下
$120 Vol.
1%
19℃
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21℃
$0 Vol.
37%
22℃
$8 Vol.
13%
23℃
$257 Vol.
26%
24℃
$0 Vol.
30%
25℃
$0 Vol.
29%
26℃
$0 Vol.
20%
27℃
$0 Vol.
18%
28℃以上
$18 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's maximum temperature on September 19 will likely reach 23–25°C under clear skies and moderate southeast winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Springtime high pressure promotes subsidence and solar heating while the Atlantic's cool marine layer and typical southeasterlies (the "Cape Doctor") limit extremes compared to berg-wind events. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, with the current warming trend and low precipitation chances elevating probabilities for the upper end of the normal range. Model consensus and minimal expected variability keep lower or higher outcomes at single-digit odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$403終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's maximum temperature on September 19 will likely reach 23–25°C under clear skies and moderate southeast winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Springtime high pressure promotes subsidence and solar heating while the Atlantic's cool marine layer and typical southeasterlies (the "Cape Doctor") limit extremes compared to berg-wind events. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, with the current warming trend and low precipitation chances elevating probabilities for the upper end of the normal range. Model consensus and minimal expected variability keep lower or higher outcomes at single-digit odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$403終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's maximum temperature on September 19 will likely reach 23–25°C under clear skies and moderate southeast winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Springtime high pressure promotes subsidence and solar heating while the Atlantic's cool marine layer and typical southeasterlies (the "Cape Doctor") limit extremes compared to berg-wind events. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, with the current warming trend and low precipitation chances elevating probabilities for the upper end of the normal range. Model consensus and minimal expected variability keep lower or higher outcomes at single-digit odds ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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