Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a September 22 high near 28°C in Beijing under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northeast, aligning with late-September climatology of 25–28°C daily maxima. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while stronger insolation or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. With resolution two days away, the next official updates and ensemble runs will narrow the range by clarifying advection and radiative influences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の北京の最高気温は?
33℃ 34%
34℃ 34%
31℃ 28%
30°C 25%
25℃以下
4%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28℃
20%
29℃
22%
30°C
25%
31℃
28%
32°C
13%
33℃
34%
34℃
34%
35℃以上
17%
33℃ 34%
34℃ 34%
31℃ 28%
30°C 25%
25℃以下
4%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28℃
20%
29℃
22%
30°C
25%
31℃
28%
32°C
13%
33℃
34%
34℃
34%
35℃以上
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a September 22 high near 28°C in Beijing under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northeast, aligning with late-September climatology of 25–28°C daily maxima. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while stronger insolation or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. With resolution two days away, the next official updates and ensemble runs will narrow the range by clarifying advection and radiative influences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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