Recent short-range model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows mostly clear skies and light southerly flow over Qingdao on September 22, supporting daytime highs near 27 °C amid seasonal cooling from recent 28–29 °C readings. Trader emphasis on 30–31 °C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of warm advection, consistent with historical September variability where daily maxima can exceed climatological averages of 26 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の青島の最高気温は?
30℃ 47%
31°C 37%
29℃ 12%
32℃ 9%
24℃以下
1%
25°C
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
7%
28°C
5%
29℃
12%
30℃
47%
31°C
37%
32℃
9%
33℃
8%
34℃以上
7%
30℃ 47%
31°C 37%
29℃ 12%
32℃ 9%
24℃以下
1%
25°C
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
7%
28°C
5%
29℃
12%
30℃
47%
31°C
37%
32℃
9%
33℃
8%
34℃以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows mostly clear skies and light southerly flow over Qingdao on September 22, supporting daytime highs near 27 °C amid seasonal cooling from recent 28–29 °C readings. Trader emphasis on 30–31 °C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of warm advection, consistent with historical September variability where daily maxima can exceed climatological averages of 26 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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