**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs points to a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Ankara on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds.** These conditions limit strong daytime heating while allowing modest solar warming, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight small differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the peak either way by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs near 25°C, providing context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the final recorded maximum as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のアンカラの最高気温は?
25℃ 47%
24℃ 44%
23℃ 10%
26℃ <1%
$25,465 Vol.
$25,465 Vol.
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
10%
24℃
44%
25℃
47%
26℃
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 47%
24℃ 44%
23℃ 10%
26℃ <1%
$25,465 Vol.
$25,465 Vol.
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
10%
24℃
44%
25℃
47%
26℃
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs points to a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Ankara on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds.** These conditions limit strong daytime heating while allowing modest solar warming, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight small differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the peak either way by 1°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs near 25°C, providing context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the final recorded maximum as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問