Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow will cap daytime heating in San Francisco on September 21, following cooler conditions on September 20. This setup favors a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F and 68-69°F bins. Recent September cooling after an early-month heat spike has reinforced trader expectations for typical late-summer marine moderation rather than anomalous warmth. Key resolution hinges on the official NWS maximum at the downtown or airport station, with limited upside potential absent any unexpected offshore flow shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月21日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
66～67°F 40%
68～69°F 27%
64〜65°F 24%
70〜71°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
華氏61度以下
1%
62〜63°F
5%
64〜65°F
24%
66～67°F
40%
68～69°F
27%
70〜71°F
8%
華氏72〜73度
2%
74-75°F
2%
76〜77°F
1%
78～79°F
1%
華氏80度以上
1%
66～67°F 40%
68～69°F 27%
64〜65°F 24%
70〜71°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
華氏61度以下
$10 Vol.
1%
62〜63°F
$54 Vol.
5%
64〜65°F
$981 Vol.
24%
66～67°F
$546 Vol.
40%
68～69°F
$620 Vol.
27%
70〜71°F
$468 Vol.
8%
華氏72〜73度
$62 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
2%
76〜77°F
$10 Vol.
1%
78～79°F
$123 Vol.
1%
華氏80度以上
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow will cap daytime heating in San Francisco on September 21, following cooler conditions on September 20. This setup favors a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F and 68-69°F bins. Recent September cooling after an early-month heat spike has reinforced trader expectations for typical late-summer marine moderation rather than anomalous warmth. Key resolution hinges on the official NWS maximum at the downtown or airport station, with limited upside potential absent any unexpected offshore flow shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$2,890終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow will cap daytime heating in San Francisco on September 21, following cooler conditions on September 20. This setup favors a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F and 68-69°F bins. Recent September cooling after an early-month heat spike has reinforced trader expectations for typical late-summer marine moderation rather than anomalous warmth. Key resolution hinges on the official NWS maximum at the downtown or airport station, with limited upside potential absent any unexpected offshore flow shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,890終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow will cap daytime heating in San Francisco on September 21, following cooler conditions on September 20. This setup favors a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on the 66-67°F and 68-69°F bins. Recent September cooling after an early-month heat spike has reinforced trader expectations for typical late-summer marine moderation rather than anomalous warmth. Key resolution hinges on the official NWS maximum at the downtown or airport station, with limited upside potential absent any unexpected offshore flow shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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