Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の成都の最高気温は？
9月20日の成都の最高気温は？
25°C 23%
26℃ 22%
24℃ 20%
23℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
22℃以下
4%
23℃
18%
24℃
20%
25°C
23%
26℃
22%
27℃
18%
28℃
17%
29℃
17%
30℃
13%
31°C
4%
32℃以上
<1%
25°C 23%
26℃ 22%
24℃ 20%
23℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
22℃以下
$76 Vol.
4%
23℃
$20 Vol.
18%
24℃
$5 Vol.
20%
25°C
$1 Vol.
23%
26℃
$4 Vol.
22%
27℃
$0 Vol.
18%
28℃
$0 Vol.
17%
29℃
$0 Vol.
17%
30℃
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$55終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$55終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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