Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の成都の最低気温は？
9月20日の成都の最低気温は？
16℃以下 100%
26°C以上 100%
17℃ 39%
18℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
16℃以下
100%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20°C
30%
21℃
30%
22℃
39%
23℃
39%
24°C
39%
25℃
39%
26°C以上
100%
16℃以下 100%
26°C以上 100%
17℃ 39%
18℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
16℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19℃
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
30%
21℃
$0 Vol.
30%
22℃
$0 Vol.
39%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25℃
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C以上
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate expected minimum temperatures near 20–22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain associated with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan basin topography. The balanced 50% odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher reflect notable divergence among numerical weather prediction models regarding overnight radiative cooling versus warm advection, a common feature in transitional September patterns where high humidity and weak winds limit temperature swings. Historical analogs show typical daily minima around 19–21°C for this period, underscoring how small shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could determine the outcome ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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