**Clear skies and light southeasterly winds are enabling moderate radiative cooling overnight, with current model consensus from sources such as GFS pointing to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C on September 20.** Cape Town’s spring transition features variable nocturnal cooling influenced by the cool Benguela Current and proximity to the Atlantic, which typically limits extremes compared to inland areas. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–26°C, though sea breezes and urban effects add uncertainty. Historical September minima average around 11–12°C, but the current setup favors readings above the long-term baseline. Market-implied odds, with 10°C or below at 41.5% leading, reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper cooling if winds remain light. Updated forecasts from the South African Weather Service and station data releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
9月20日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
10℃以下 83%
12℃ 39%
17℃ 39%
13℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
10℃以下
83%
11°C
18%
12℃
39%
13℃
25%
14℃
22%
15°C
22%
16℃
21%
17℃
39%
18°C
3%
19℃
12%
20°C以上
1%
10℃以下 83%
12℃ 39%
17℃ 39%
13℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
10℃以下
$0 Vol.
83%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃
$0 Vol.
25%
14℃
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16℃
$0 Vol.
21%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19℃
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C以上
$301 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southeasterly winds are enabling moderate radiative cooling overnight, with current model consensus from sources such as GFS pointing to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C on September 20.** Cape Town’s spring transition features variable nocturnal cooling influenced by the cool Benguela Current and proximity to the Atlantic, which typically limits extremes compared to inland areas. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–26°C, though sea breezes and urban effects add uncertainty. Historical September minima average around 11–12°C, but the current setup favors readings above the long-term baseline. Market-implied odds, with 10°C or below at 41.5% leading, reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper cooling if winds remain light. Updated forecasts from the South African Weather Service and station data releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$301終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southeasterly winds are enabling moderate radiative cooling overnight, with current model consensus from sources such as GFS pointing to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C on September 20.** Cape Town’s spring transition features variable nocturnal cooling influenced by the cool Benguela Current and proximity to the Atlantic, which typically limits extremes compared to inland areas. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–26°C, though sea breezes and urban effects add uncertainty. Historical September minima average around 11–12°C, but the current setup favors readings above the long-term baseline. Market-implied odds, with 10°C or below at 41.5% leading, reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper cooling if winds remain light. Updated forecasts from the South African Weather Service and station data releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$301終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Clear skies and light southeasterly winds are enabling moderate radiative cooling overnight, with current model consensus from sources such as GFS pointing to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C on September 20.** Cape Town’s spring transition features variable nocturnal cooling influenced by the cool Benguela Current and proximity to the Atlantic, which typically limits extremes compared to inland areas. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–26°C, though sea breezes and urban effects add uncertainty. Historical September minima average around 11–12°C, but the current setup favors readings above the long-term baseline. Market-implied odds, with 10°C or below at 41.5% leading, reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper cooling if winds remain light. Updated forecasts from the South African Weather Service and station data releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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