Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のカラチの最高気温は？
9月21日のカラチの最高気温は？
39℃ 33%
40℃ 30%
38℃ 17%
41℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
34℃以下
1%
35°C
2%
36℃
4%
37°C
5%
38℃
17%
39℃
33%
40℃
30%
41℃
16%
42℃
1%
43℃
<1%
44℃以上
<1%
39℃ 33%
40℃ 30%
38℃ 17%
41℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
34℃以下
$327 Vol.
1%
35°C
$302 Vol.
2%
36℃
$224 Vol.
4%
37°C
$442 Vol.
5%
38℃
$81 Vol.
17%
39℃
$420 Vol.
33%
40℃
$700 Vol.
30%
41℃
$655 Vol.
16%
42℃
$5 Vol.
1%
43℃
$111 Vol.
<1%
44℃以上
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$3,379終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,379終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETTrader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問