Close odds between 16°C or below at 50% and 22°C at 49% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 19. Short-range models show variability in the strength and timing of a weak cold front interacting with residual subtropical moisture, which could either allow radiational cooling under clear skies or maintain warmer nocturnal temperatures through cloud cover and light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin centers around 18–23°C lows, with urban heat effects and orographic influences from surrounding terrain adding local variability. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer conditions and any shift in the 500 hPa pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の成都の最低気温は？
9月19日の成都の最低気温は？
16℃以下 96%
26℃以上 59%
22°C 53%
20℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
96%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20℃
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
49%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26℃以上
59%
16℃以下 96%
26℃以上 59%
22°C 53%
20℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
$0 Vol.
96%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19℃
$0 Vol.
39%
20℃
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$289 Vol.
49%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24℃
$0 Vol.
39%
25℃
$0 Vol.
39%
26℃以上
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 16°C or below at 50% and 22°C at 49% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 19. Short-range models show variability in the strength and timing of a weak cold front interacting with residual subtropical moisture, which could either allow radiational cooling under clear skies or maintain warmer nocturnal temperatures through cloud cover and light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin centers around 18–23°C lows, with urban heat effects and orographic influences from surrounding terrain adding local variability. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer conditions and any shift in the 500 hPa pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$289終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 16°C or below at 50% and 22°C at 49% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 19. Short-range models show variability in the strength and timing of a weak cold front interacting with residual subtropical moisture, which could either allow radiational cooling under clear skies or maintain warmer nocturnal temperatures through cloud cover and light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin centers around 18–23°C lows, with urban heat effects and orographic influences from surrounding terrain adding local variability. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer conditions and any shift in the 500 hPa pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$289終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETClose odds between 16°C or below at 50% and 22°C at 49% reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 19. Short-range models show variability in the strength and timing of a weak cold front interacting with residual subtropical moisture, which could either allow radiational cooling under clear skies or maintain warmer nocturnal temperatures through cloud cover and light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin centers around 18–23°C lows, with urban heat effects and orographic influences from surrounding terrain adding local variability. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer conditions and any shift in the 500 hPa pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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