Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の北京の最低気温は?
26℃以上 95%
16°C以下 90%
17℃ 39%
18℃ 39%
16°C以下
90%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19°C
30%
20℃
26%
21℃
16%
22℃
38%
23℃
38%
24°C
38%
25℃
38%
26℃以上
95%
26℃以上 95%
16°C以下 90%
17℃ 39%
18℃ 39%
16°C以下
90%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19°C
30%
20℃
26%
21℃
16%
22℃
38%
23℃
38%
24°C
38%
25℃
38%
26℃以上
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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