Forecast models from European and global ensembles indicate the overnight low in Amsterdam will likely settle between 12–14°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a small chance of showers. These conditions align with typical late-September Atlantic-influenced patterns in the Netherlands, where average minimums hover near 12°C but can vary with exact wind speed and cloud timing. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C because small shifts in model runs—such as changes in cloud thickness or wind gusts—could push the recorded minimum across those thresholds, while official KNMI station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
17°C 51%
13°C 50%
14℃ 50%
16℃ 50%
10℃以下
1%
11℃
2%
12°C
48%
13°C
50%
14℃
50%
15°C
50%
16℃
50%
17°C
51%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
17°C 51%
13°C 50%
14℃ 50%
16℃ 50%
10℃以下
1%
11℃
2%
12°C
48%
13°C
50%
14℃
50%
15°C
50%
16℃
50%
17°C
51%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from European and global ensembles indicate the overnight low in Amsterdam will likely settle between 12–14°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a small chance of showers. These conditions align with typical late-September Atlantic-influenced patterns in the Netherlands, where average minimums hover near 12°C but can vary with exact wind speed and cloud timing. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C because small shifts in model runs—such as changes in cloud thickness or wind gusts—could push the recorded minimum across those thresholds, while official KNMI station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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